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when we saw a deficit and policy toion is being designed rebalance the economy's and we're seeing that happen. while the trade deficits are coming down, the demand for products from emerging markets, whether commodities or manufactured goods, that demand is not growing as fast as it was when trade deficits were expanding. the markets are going to find the environment stuff. what is the concern china or deflation? >> i don't think there will be deflation and i think we will see a long time of low growth. i don't think inflation will be a problem. of alarm also it's bells and i like to put the word demand in front of deflation. and thatalling wages means following command and a negative spiral. it is not just falling prices. is lots of sectors. you see groups and things like that. falling realu have wages that that is the problem. the cycle that japan went through and if you do not touch it at the right time, it is difficult to turn around. are we in a scenario like that? deflation and the specter of it hanging over us unless handled correctly. >> one of the characteristics of japan
that the russian budget is experiencing is that they are having an expanding deficit at $110 a barrel. if we go back several years, they're doing rather well balancing the budget at $60 a barrel. every single increased difficulty in funding export into what is the kremlin our needs and that is a full flow of finance. >> how much substitution can there be? are there ways around the situation? >> no. the energy crisis in the ukraine will become acute and quickly. , thered no difficulty was an arrangement that had been set up between ukraine and russian gas prom -- and russian azprom. there were supposed to be an extension of credit. all of that is over. it is back to cash on the barrel head and ukraine cannot afford to buy natural gas. an lngalking about terminal outside of odessa, but that will not particularly help. one problem people have not really looked at yet is the ukrainians, like a number of people in europe, have been relying on toward coal to offset the natural gas pricing situation. there are some reverberations this morning from the netscape onetsk. internally, we are having an ene
differentiate as i look the key issue for me is who is dealing with a budget deficit or who is not raising interest rates. what is the critical issue for you? willdonesia for example mark itself out as different from the others. elsewhere,ine and don't be too concentrated in emerging markets. political risk is large and it is not very well-predicted by investors. do be well diversified. take some overweight and underweight positions. we tend to be overweight the small countries and underweight the largest ones. underweight the brics historically. that can be difficult when china is on a strong rally. good stead over the long term. >> what is going on in china? i come in everyday, we have the yuan on the move, we are trying to lure him the currency? there is something very interesting in the past couple of weeks in china. >> they have to squeeze the excess is out of the system and it is going to be painful. we talked about volatility earlier. we can expect that to spike up later in the year. there is going to be some headline news out of china as this credit excess is squeezed. i think the
Search Results 0 to 2 of about 3

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